Boys - Girls
New Prairie Regional
2002 - 2003 - 2004



These are rankings of individuals and teams that feed into this regional. It is not a projected order of finish in the race.
Below the rankings is a projection of this round of the tournament.


RankNameGradeSchoolRatingState Rank
1  Racheal Marchand 12 Valparaiso 18:21 #6  
2  Cassie Peller 12 Chesterton 18:44 #10  
3  Mary Ballinger 10 Chesterton 18:48 #13  
4  Lauren Hardesty 9 Valparaiso 18:56 #14  
5  Sarah Kehe 10 Chesterton 19:14 #22  
6  Christina Blackwell 10 Portage 19:16 #24  
7  Crystina Aburto-Martinez 11 Wheeler 19:17 #25  
8  Anna Weber 10 Michigan City 19:22 #29  
9  Julie Martz 12 Valparaiso 19:23 #30  
10  Amanda Hardesty 9 Valparaiso 19:27 #31  
11  Kelly Peller 10 Chesterton 19:29 #34  
12  Lisa Floran 11 Valparaiso 19:39 #45  
13  Erica Johnson 11 Valparaiso 19:43 #49  
14  Andrea Kent 10 Valparaiso 19:48 #56  
15  Kimberly Woodruff 12 Michigan City 19:50 #64  
16  Crystal Aburto-Martinez 11 Wheeler 19:58 #84  
17  Sabrina Pope 10 Valparaiso 20:00 #90  
RankNameSectionalRatingState Rank
1  Valparaiso Chesterton 155 #1  
2  Chesterton Chesterton 200 #3  
3  Portage Chesterton 417 #16  
4  Michigan City New Prairie 428 #20  
5  New Prairie New Prairie 562 #33  



Regional Simulation



Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Only teams that advanced out of the sectional simulation for each trial were included in the regional simulation for that trial. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.


SchoolAdvances to RoundAvg FinishAvg ScoreMin ScoreMax Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Valparaiso 100.0% 1.2 31 15 53 81.1 18.9
Chesterton 100.0% 1.8 41 22 73 18.9 81.1 0.0
Portage 100.0% 3.5 87 58 119 0.0 56.6 40.7 2.7
Michigan City 100.0% 3.6 90 59 122 0.0 42.6 52.4 5.0
New Prairie 100.0% 4.9 113 85 142 0.8 7.0 92.3


RunnerSchoolRatingAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20
Racheal Marchand Valparaiso 18:21 100.0% 1.0 81.6 11.7 5.5 1.0 0.2 0.0
Cassie Peller Chesterton 18:44 100.0% 2.1 10.9 37.5 29.0 13.5 5.6 2.0 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
Mary Ballinger Chesterton 18:48 100.0% 2.5 6.6 25.4 33.9 19.2 7.8 3.8 1.7 0.8 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0
Lauren Hardesty Valparaiso 18:56 100.0% 3.5 0.4 19.1 17.4 26.5 16.8 9.7 5.2 2.9 1.3 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0
Sarah Kehe Chesterton 19:14 100.0% 6.2 0.1 0.5 2.1 11.4 17.3 16.6 14.2 11.3 8.8 6.0 4.4 3.2 2.2 1.3 0.5 0.3 0.0 0.0
Christina Blackwell Portage 19:16 100.0% 6.5 0.2 2.4 4.0 8.9 13.4 14.2 13.0 11.4 8.9 7.3 5.5 3.7 3.3 2.1 1.2 0.5 0.1 0.0
Crystina Aburto-Martinez Wheeler 19:17 100.0% 6.7 0.2 2.2 3.5 8.3 12.1 14.0 13.3 12.1 10.2 7.7 5.6 4.5 3.0 2.1 1.1 0.2 0.0
Anna Weber Michigan City 19:22 100.0% 7.8 0.1 0.9 2.3 4.9 9.0 10.8 12.7 12.5 10.8 9.9 8.4 6.5 5.2 3.7 1.7 0.7 0.1 0.0 0.0
Julie Martz Valparaiso 19:23 100.0% 8.0 0.3 1.4 3.0 8.1 11.2 12.6 13.8 15.0 12.8 9.2 6.1 3.5 1.7 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0
Amanda Hardesty Valparaiso 19:27 100.0% 9.0 0.1 0.7 1.6 4.5 7.5 10.1 12.0 14.2 14.2 13.0 9.8 5.9 3.8 1.7 0.7 0.3 0.1
Kelly Peller Chesterton 19:29 100.0% 9.5 0.0 0.1 1.4 3.7 7.0 9.1 11.2 11.9 11.8 10.8 9.3 8.1 7.3 4.7 2.5 1.0 0.2 0.0
Lisa Floran Valparaiso 19:39 100.0% 11.7 0.1 0.1 0.9 1.5 3.2 4.4 6.5 9.8 13.0 15.2 14.9 12.9 8.8 5.1 2.6 1.0 0.2 0.0
Erica Johnson Valparaiso 19:43 100.0% 12.5 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.0 1.7 3.0 4.9 7.1 10.4 13.6 15.7 15.6 12.6 8.0 4.1 1.7 0.3 0.0
Andrea Kent Valparaiso 19:48 100.0% 13.6 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.9 1.5 2.1 4.4 6.5 10.3 14.5 17.1 16.9 12.6 8.2 3.8 0.6 0.2
Kimberly Woodruff Michigan City 19:50 100.0% 14.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.4 1.0 1.7 3.0 4.8 6.7 8.8 10.5 12.8 17.1 16.3 10.3 5.4 0.8 0.2
Crystal Aburto-Martinez Wheeler 19:58 97.4% 15.2 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.8 1.3 2.2 3.7 5.1 6.9 9.8 14.9 20.3 17.1 10.7 2.7 0.9